Interpretation
Compared with Baseline, the odds of meeting the 9–11 hour guideline fell by 31% at Year 1 (OR = 0.69, p < .001), 51% at Year 2 (OR = 0.49, p < .001), and 58% at Year 3 (OR = 0.42, p < .001). The monotonic decline points to a cohort-wide erosion of sufficient sleep across adolescence rather than a transient dip. Anxiety exerted an additional, albeit modest, effect: each one-unit uptick corresponded to a 1.6% decrease in the odds of sufficient sleep (OR = 0.984, p < .001), indicating that even within-person fluctuations in stress meaningfully shape nightly outcomes. The working-correlation estimate (α = 0.37) signals moderate within-subject stability—youth differ from one another, but each individual tends to retain their relative position over time. Together, the coefficients portray a population that is steadily drifting away from healthy sleep, with anxiety acting as a persistent drag on the probability of recovery.
Visualization Notes
The predicted-probability curve slopes downward, translating the small negative logit coefficient for anxiety into an easily interpretable decline in sleep sufficiency as anxiety rises. Confidence bands stay tight across the anxiety range, indicating that the effect is estimated precisely even at the more extreme scores. Although the probability drop looks gradual—roughly five percentage points between the calmest and most anxious youth—the entirely negative band underscores that the relationship is consistently detrimental. Taken together with the model table, the figure shows how incremental increases in anxiety accumulate into meaningfully lower odds of attaining the recommended 9–11 hours of sleep.